By Paul Collier
From world-renowned economist Paul Collier, a candid diagnosis of the failures of capitalism and a pragmatic and realistic vision for how we can repair it.
Deep new rifts are tearing apart the fabric of Britain and other Western societies: thriving cities versus the provinces, the highly skilled elite versus the less educated, wealthy versus developing countries. As these divides deepen, we have lost the sense of ethical obligation to others that was crucial to the rise of post-war social democracy. So far these rifts have been answered only by the revivalist ideologies of populism and socialism, leading to the seismic upheavals of Trump, Brexit and the return of the far right in Germany. We have heard many critiques of capitalism but no one has laid out a realistic way to fix it, until now.
The Future of Capitalism is a passionate and polemical book, in which celebrated economist Paul Collier outlines brilliantly original and ethical ways of healing these rifts - economic, social and cultural - with the cool head of pragmatism, rather than the fervour of ideological revivalism. He reveals how he has personally lived across these three divides, moving from working-class Sheffield to hyper-competitive Oxford, and working between Britain and Africa, and acknowledges some of the failings of his profession.
Drawing on his own solutions as well as ideas from some of the world's most distinguished social scientists, he shows us how to save capitalism from itself - and free ourselves from the intellectual baggage of the 20th century.
Gareth Mawer on Medium wrote:
"Paul Collier, who made his name as a development economist, is nothing if not ambitious. He has a plan for healing three great rifts: the geographic divide between declining provincial towns and thriving metropolitan centres; the worldview and value divide between the educated and the less educated [...]; and the global divide between rich countries and poor. He has original things to say, both in his diagnosis of the three rifts and in his policy solutions. For Collier belongs to that sadly small band of truly useful social science academics who read the most relevant research, transcending the narrow specialisation of the academy, and apply it in a pragmatic manner to contemporary problems. [...] Above all he understands that the roots of our current discontents are not just economic but cultural and psychological too: in an age of more socially fluid and meritocratic societies, which sharply divide winners and losers, how can most people be valued and recognised and feel able to lead purposeful, successful lives? [...] Collier can be a bit slapdash with his facts and perhaps tries to cram too much into one book, meaning some ideas feel half-digested. He has a good turn of phrase, though, and can be witty too, on the social bias of Spellcheck for example. This book is not an easy read but it is an important one"
Steven Pearlstein on The Washington Post wrote:
"Committed to the philosophy of pragmatism, what works, Mr Collier argues that we must reintroduce ethical concerns into our economic thinking and use that to design policies that will tackle the fundamental problems of contemporary capitalism. The result is to develop a more communitarian and socially materialistic capitalism that seeks to bridge the geographical divides between urban and provincial Britain. Mr Collier is critical of the influence abstract moral philosophies have had on economic discourse. [...] Collier convincingly argues that an ethical capitalism must satisfy the ethical concerns economic agents have rather than satisfy the demands placed upon it by the morals of the philosopher. [...] Collier also convincingly argues that a communitarian outlook is needed to counter the excessive effects of individualism. [...] Collier ventures too far into the social conservative camp for my liking, his philosophy of pragmatism is a tool to justify such conclusions without engaging in ideological discussion about socially conservative values. Mr Collier falls into the trap of thinking that socially conservative values are just common sense. They are not."
Paschal Donohoe on The Irish Times wrote:
"With its ruthless focus on profits and its increasingly unequal distribution of income and opportunity, he argues, Anglo-American capitalism has forfeited much of its economic, political and moral legitimacy. Collier puts much of the blame on ideologues of the left, with their excessive faith in government, and those of the right, with their excessive faith in unregulated markets. His pitch is for a return to the kind of pragmatic, centrist communitarianism that characterized the years immediately after World War II, when the focus was on shared prosperity and reciprocal obligations that enhanced trust and cooperation. [...] The Future of Capitalism has the discursive charm of a lecture delivered by a well-read and slightly acerbic Oxford don. An American reader might find it a bit academic at times, or Anglo-centric. And readers everywhere will be rightfully skeptical of his proposal to make corporate directors legally liable when they ignore the public interest in their private-sector decision-making. Much better is his idea to raise taxes on those who benefit undeservedly from modern capitalism. [...] All that extra revenue he would recycle to the Youngstowns and Sheffields of the world, not for higher welfare payments but to jump-start the creation of new industrial clusters that could create fulfilling jobs for those being left behind. There is nothing socialist about Collier’s critique or his prescriptions — like Adam Smith, the oft-misunderstood father of modern economics, he’s about restoring a moral sensibility to a market system that is falling short of its potential."
Paul Mason on New Statesman wrote:
According to Collier "the best option is to cultivate inclusion through 'a sense of belonging to the same place'. This feels curiously incomplete given the recognition of multiple cultural identities jostling inside the modern state. How this variety of identity can unite around a sense of shared place is not made clear. The author acknowledges this conundrum when he writes 'space binds us through public policies, but it is no longer binding us socially'. However a weak start is compensated by the development of the intriguing concept of 'social maternalism'. This is a recipe for an active state, but not necessarily a big state. [...] The claim that 'the philosophical bedrock of this agenda is a rejection of ideology' is an eerie echo of political philosophies that have made a virtue of pragmatism. Any reasonable action will be contemplated if justified by an improvement in the common good. But this does not ring true. The mere acceptance of a mixed economy, the acknowledging of a particular balance between state and individual, is a statement of political belief. [...] The combination of a philosophical framework and specific policy suggestions is rare. So, to describe this thinking as pragmatism or practical reasoning, is either too modest or slightly disingenuous. [...] This book, in addition to other works such as The Entrepreneurial State by Mariana Mazzucato or Start Again by Philip Collins, seeks to make the case for mixed economies more capable of responding to social fractures and economic divides. This thinking is suffused with a yearning for a potentially elusive sense of place."
Anonymous on The Economist wrote:
"Collier [...] attacks the twin ethical systems that have dominated policymaking in the free-market era: utilitarianism and the theories of social justice associated with the political philosopher John Rawls. In their place he outlines a project for the renewal of centrist politics based on communitarian ethics. The project, which he labels 'hard centrism', is backed by an appeal to patriotism and with a mea culpa from the economics profession. [...] Unfortunately, Collier’s solutions are not coherent, and about as likely to defuse populist anger as a Goldman Sachs away-day. Collier correctly identifies the symptoms that are driving political radicalisation [...] But for Collier, the root cause of these malfunctions is not the structure of the neoliberal economy itself, nor the rapaciousness of a small financial elite. It is, instead, the rise of a new skilled and salaried middle class who can capture the economic and social gains generated by highly productive and asset-rich city economies. [...] Collier’s identification of the urban salariat as a 'new class' is not simply a metaphor. He classifies the typical behaviours of young, urban, educated people as economic 'rent-seeking', which, in traditional economics, refers to activities designed to increase your own wealth without increasing the wealth of society. It can range from property speculation to trying to rig government regulations to favour your firm. Collier, however, sees the lifestyle of educated urban people as the same kind of thing. [...] Collier wants fewer lawyers, fewer actors, fewer migrants and fewer people avoiding marriage and family life. If you are wondering what kind of politics emerges from all this, you will not be surprised to learn it is a form of social-democratic conservatism [...] Collier never suggests what the source of a new shared value system might be, other than a spontaneous mass return to the thought-patterns and behaviours of his home town, Sheffield, in the 1960s. People shaped by 30 years of compliance with neoliberalism, for whom freedom has come to mean the ability to choose between latte and cappuccino, cannot return to the value systems of their grandparents.“
Katherine J. Anderson on Public Books wrote:
According to Collier "the patriotic legacy of the second world war allowed Western countries to combine the strengths of the market with a protective web of reciprocal obligations, most notably via the welfare state. By the 1980s, however, two toxic ideologies were ascendant. One was modern economics, which, Mr Collier says, assumes individuals are selfish and rootless, and which argued for a freewheeling kind of globalisation because it is efficient. The other ideology came from centre-left parties that stopped caring about families and communities. Instead they urged people to claim a proliferating set of rights and promoted 'new victim groups seeking privileged treatment'. [...] The task is to find practical answers: 'ideology is a menace.' A first step, he argues, is to reframe rights and responsibilities. In some circumstances society has a duty of rescue - to refugees, for example, or teenagers trapped in dead-end jobs. But in most domains the governing principle should be 'reciprocity'. He applies this concept in various contexts. Families should look after the old and young. Firms should be loyal to their staff. At the national level, rich metropolises should share more of the spoils with laggard cities; migration must be calibrated to benefit the host population. Some of these ideas work better than others. [...] Yet the question left hanging is whether those old virtues still appeal. Social media has polarised electorates; it will be hard to turn the clock back on individualism. Successful 'onenation' politicians are rare. [...] Mr Collier knows what he wants - but do voters want it, too?"
Branko Milanovic on ProMarket wrote:
"The Future of Capitalism does call for a return to reciprocal obligations in order to heal our fragmented social identity. Collier marches us through his plan for scaffolding renewed obligations in three areas—the ethical family (intimacy), the ethical world (duties of rescue), and the ethical state and ethical firm (those all-important reciprocal obligations of community in between the family and the world). But in the process, he proposes a capitalism that’s actually rooted in old-fashioned patriarchal morality, not ethics. [...] The capitalist society he envisions is not so much ethical as it is moral —rooted in personal values carried over from the 1940s. The cultural departure from these heterosexist, patriarchal values doesn’t explain current divergences between the well educated and the less educated, nor will a return to 1945’s nuclear family model fix capitalism, though it might well perpetuate it in its current exploitative state, through the reproduction of future laborers. [...] promising young people in the Global South should stay put, while internationally funded compensation encourages 'ethical companies' to come to their societies and provide jobs. Here again, practicality falls away, as Collier does not provide a detailed plan for international corporate ethics. What does it mean for a company to be ethical in a developing society? What might the pay scale for these created jobs look like? Without this elaboration, his strategy becomes yet another justification for the global outsourcing of labor, a practice riddled with unethical exploitations. [...] What Collier’s book fatally ignores [...] is the history of racial capitalism, and the ways in which our current economic arrangement both results from and reproduces that history."
"Paul Collier’s recent book The Future of Capitalism is a tough book to review. It is short (215 pages) yet covers an enormous area, from a social and economic interpretation of the past 70 years in the West to pleas for 'ethical' companies, 'ethical' families and even an 'ethical' world, to a set of proposals for reform in advanced economies. The most uncharitable assessment would be to say that, at times, the book comes close (emphasis on 'close') to nationalism, 'social eugenics', 'family values' of the Moral Majority kind, and conservatism in the literal sense of the word, because it posits an idealized past and exhorts us to return there. However, one could also say that Collier’s diagnoses of current ills are often accurate and remarkably clear-sighted and that some of his recommendations are compelling and sophisticated, yet common-sensical."
- "Move left on the economy and talk the language of belonging” - interview with Paul Collier about the book on New Statesman, 28 November 2018
- "Free Exchange: Paul Collier on the future of capitalism" - interview with Paul Collier about the book on the CapX Podcast
Table of Contents of The Future of Capitalism
Part One: Crisis
- The New Anxieties
Part Two: Restoring Ethics
- The Foundations of Morality: From the Selfish Gene to the Ethical Group
- The Ethical State
- The Ethical Firm
- The Ethical Family
- The Ethical World
Part Three: Restoring the Inclusive Society
- The Geographic Divide: Booming Metropolis, Broken Cities
- The Class Divide: Having It All, Falling Apart
- The Global Divide: Winners, and the Left Behind
Part Four: Restoring Inclusive Politics
- Breaking the Extremes
About Paul Collier
Sir Paul Collier is Professor of Economics and Public Policy atthe Blavatnik School of Government and a Professorial Fellow of St Antony’s College, University of Oxford. From 1998–2003 he took a five-year Public Service leave during which he was Director of the Research Development Department of the World Bank. He is currently a Professeur invité at Sciences Po and a Director of the International Growth Centre.
He has written for the New York Times, the Financial Times, the Wall Street Journal, and the Washington Post. His research covers the causes and consequences of civil war; the effects of aid and the problems of democracy in low-income and natural resources rich societies; urbanization in low-income countries; private investment in African infrastructure and changing organizational cultures.
Recent books include The Bottom Billion (Oxford University Press, 2007); Wars, Guns and Votes: Democracy in Dangerous Places (Vintage Books, 2009); and The Plundered Planet: How to reconcile prosperity with nature (Oxford University Press, 2010); Exodus: How migration is changing our world (Oxford University Press, 2013).